Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd Share Price Target 2026, 2027, 2028, 2030, 2040, 2050

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About SBI Bank-

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) is India’s flagship state-owned energy explorer, responsible for approximately 72% of the country’s crude oil and 56% of its natural gas production. As a Maharatna PSU, the company explores, develops, and produces hydrocarbons across domestic offshore and onshore assets while operating internationally through its subsidiary, ONGC Videsh 

ONGC Current Market Performance

Financial Table for ONGC Bank Ltd

Data as of March 2026. Based on consolidated figures. Q3 FY2026 results declared on 12 Feb 2026

Pros

  • Stock is trading at 0.98 times its book value
  • Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 4.27%.
  • The company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 37.9%

Cons

  • The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.06% over the past five years.
  • The company has a low return on equity of 13.8% over the last 3 years.

The pros and cons are machine-generated.

Quarterly Results

Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores.

Quarterly Financial Data
Particulars Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023 Mar 2024 Jun 2024 Sep 2024 Dec 2024 Mar 2025 Jun 2025 Sep 2025 Dec 2025
Sales 169,213 164,067 163,824 147,614 167,357 172,137 168,968 159,331 167,213 170,812 163,108 157,911 167,423
Expenses 147,346 143,527 133,029 119,534 146,996 148,913 147,183 138,757 142,858 148,727 137,429 131,390 142,088
Operating Profit 21,867 20,539 30,795 28,080 20,360 23,224 21,785 20,574 24,354 22,085 25,679 26,521 25,335
OPM % 13% 13% 19% 19% 12% 13% 13% 13% 15% 13% 16% 17% 15%
Other Income 2,807 -4,786 3,069 3,673 4,299 3,375 3,535 4,162 2,415 3,465 2,555 3,447 3,450
Interest 2,188 2,068 2,364 3,243 3,203 3,608 3,694 3,827 3,750 3,500 3,341 3,411 3,207
Depreciation 6,784 6,744 7,078 7,079 7,494 8,420 8,501 8,254 9,539 9,043 9,384 9,273 9,388
Profit before tax 15,702 6,941 24,422 21,431 13,962 14,570 13,125 12,655 13,480 13,006 15,509 17,284 16,190
Tax % 26% 7% 27% 25% 25% 24% 26% 22% 28% 32% 26% 27% 26%
Net Profit 11,665 6,478 17,893 16,171 10,511 11,096 9,776 9,841 9,747 8,856 11,554 12,615 11,946
EPS in Rs 9.13 3.57 11.64 10.89 8.51 7.97 7.93 8.14 6.82 5.82 7.79 8.57 7.96

Profit & Loss

Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores

ONGC – Financial Data
Particulars Mar 2014 Mar 2015 Mar 2016 Mar 2017 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 Mar 2024 Mar 2025 TTM
Sales 174,121 160,923 124,036 282,506 322,706 421,624 396,728 303,849 491,246 632,291 601,581 612,065 659,254
Expenses 124,991 118,610 84,901 229,702 265,817 346,805 344,623 254,375 411,373 556,764 499,198 523,205 559,633
Operating Profit 49,130 42,312 39,135 52,804 56,889 74,819 52,105 49,473 79,874 75,527 102,383 88,861 99,620
OPM % 28% 26% 32% 19% 18% 18% 13% 16% 16% 12% 17% 15% 15%
Other Income 7,170 5,955 1,067 12,724 10,429 9,567 982 11,271 6,797 -30 14,712 13,278 12,917
Interest 624 2,864 3,766 3,591 4,999 5,837 7,489 5,079 5,696 7,889 13,026 14,535 13,460
Depreciation 16,262 18,033 16,384 20,219 23,112 23,704 26,635 25,538 26,883 24,557 30,440 35,206 37,089
Profit before tax 39,413 27,370 20,052 41,718 39,208 54,846 18,962 30,126 54,091 43,051 73,629 52,398 61,989
Tax % 32% 35% 35% 30% 34% 38% 40% 29% 9% 24% 25% 27%
Net Profit 26,665 17,703 13,102 29,169 26,068 33,938 11,456 21,360 49,294 32,778 55,273 38,329 44,972
EPS in Rs 20.65 14.29 10.03 19.03 17.23 24.28 8.59 12.96 36.19 28.17 39.06 28.80 30.14
Dividend Payout % 31% 44% 56% 40% 38% 29% 58% 28% 29% 40% 31% 43%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:7%
5 Years:19%
3 Years:-8%
TTM:-5%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:8%
5 Years:23%
3 Years:23%
1 Year:27%
Return on Equity
10 Years:13%
5 Years:14%
3 Years:14%
Last Year:11%

Balance Sheet

Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores 

Balance Sheet
Particulars Mar 2014 Mar 2015 Mar 2016 Mar 2017 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 Mar 2024 Mar 2025 Sep 2025
Equity Capital 4,278 4,278 4,278 6,417 6,417 6,290 6,290 6,290 6,290 6,290 6,290 6,290 6,290
Reserves 167,874 176,177 193,536 187,969 197,602 210,644 198,814 214,691 253,213 274,357 332,779 337,150 361,489
Borrowings 49,113 53,944 45,500 80,029 106,550 107,742 129,473 133,187 121,986 142,255 191,195 187,817 176,018
Other Liabilities 103,711 103,448 98,459 170,111 148,664 167,667 173,787 187,580 201,771 190,212 206,357 221,398 237,621
Total Liabilities 324,976 337,847 341,772 444,525 459,232 492,343 508,364 541,748 583,260 613,115 736,621 752,656 781,418
Fixed Assets 155,923 179,933 166,277 211,125 226,058 230,391 243,892 243,746 254,402 250,819 317,183 336,810 362,910
CWIP 72,034 63,393 57,668 59,042 61,512 69,056 83,832 100,309 106,719 113,945 118,729 115,724 94,643
Investments 4,746 4,749 33,387 70,746 67,335 66,909 56,755 60,320 66,642 78,873 100,862 95,617 100,867
Other Assets 92,273 89,771 84,440 103,612 104,328 125,987 123,884 137,372 155,496 169,478 199,847 204,504 222,997
Total Assets 324,976 337,847 341,772 444,525 459,232 492,343 508,364 541,748 583,260 613,115 736,621 752,656 781,418

Cash Flows

Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores 

Cash Flow Statement
Particulars Mar 2014 Mar 2015 Mar 2016 Mar 2017 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 Mar 2024 Mar 2025
Cash from Operating Activity 53,270 33,950 46,292 45,780 56,792 61,458 70,593 47,185 78,248 84,211 98,847 90,868
Cash from Investing Activity -63,633 -30,058 -38,256 -43,815 -66,798 -37,132 -53,159 -39,141 -41,197 -72,799 -57,423 -42,901
Cash from Financing Activity 15,225 -10,641 -8,972 -1,867 9,909 -23,324 -16,726 -8,239 -35,790 -12,916 -45,009 -47,908
Net Cash Flow 4,862 -6,749 -935 99 -97 1,001 708 -195 1,261 -1,504 -3,586 59
Free Cash Flow 38,335 17,053 31,199 25,445 29,061 35,697 28,735 15,147 45,158 47,758 60,965 50,154
CFO/OP 130% 102% 138% 105% 119% 103% 155% 111% 115% 132% 111% 118%

Shareholding Pattern

Numbers in percentages

ONGC – Shareholding Pattern
Category Mar 2017 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 Mar 2024 Mar 2025 Dec 2025
Promoters – 68.07% 67.72% 64.25% 60.41% 60.41% 58.91% 58.89% 58.89% 58.89% 58.89%
President Of India 68.07 67.72 64.25 60.41 60.41 58.91 58.89 58.89 58.89 58.89
FIIs + 6.29% 5.47% 6.47% 7.62% 8.08% 9.91% 7.97% 8.88% 7.11% 7.43%
DIIs + 11.96% 13.25% 15.73% 17.87% 17.48% 16.36% 19.87% 18.88% 19.93% 19.69%
Government + 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 10.30% 10.30% 10.30% 10.30%
Public + 13.68% 13.57% 13.55% 14.10% 14.03% 14.82% 2.94% 3.05% 3.76% 3.69%
No. of Shareholders 6,29,625 6,29,224 6,29,594 8,67,077 11,61,502 13,62,794 15,48,726 17,90,074 30,30,759 28,56,489

2026 Monthly Targets

ONGC share price is expected to trade between ₹285 and ₹ 325 in 2026, driven by stable crude oil prices and consistent production. Gradual monthly growth reflects modest recovery in energy demand. Government support and dividend payouts provide downside protection. Investors can expect steady accumulation levels with limited volatility during this consolidation phase.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January285
February288+3
March292+4
April296+4
May301+5
June305+4
July308+3
August312+4
September315+3
October318+3
November322+4
December325+3
2026 Year-End Target: ₹325 | Estimated Gain: +14% from Jan

2027 Monthly Targets

The year 2027 shows stronger momentum with targets reaching ₹400 by December. Improved exploration success and higher gas realization drive valuation. Monthly gains accelerate from ₹5 to ₹8 as market confidence returns. ONGC benefits from crude oil stability at $75-80/barrel, making it attractive for value investors seeking long-term energy exposure.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January330+5
February335+5
March340+5
April346+6
May352+6
June358+6
July365+7
August372+7
September378+6
October385+7
November392+7
December400+8
2027 Year-End Target: ₹400 | Estimated Gain: +23% from 2026 year-end

2028 Monthly Targets

ONGC targets a climb to ₹512 by the end of 2028, supported by production ramp-up and cost optimization. Monthly increments increase to ₹10, reflecting growing investor optimism. Deep-water projects begin contributing meaningfully to volumes. The company’s strong balance sheet and consistent dividend history make it a defensive pick in volatile markets.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January408+8
February416+8
March425+9
April434+9
May443+9
June452+9
July462+10
August472+10
September482+10
October492+10
November502+10
December512+10
2028 Year-End Target: ₹512 | Estimated Gain: +28% from 2027 year-end

2029 Monthly Targets

By 2029, ONGC aims for ₹624 year-end target. Monthly gains remain robust at ₹8-11 as exploration successes materialize. Gas pricing reforms and LNG opportunities add new revenue streams. The stock becomes attractive for both growth and income seekers, with potential for multiple expansion amid favorable energy sector tailwinds.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January520+8
February528+8
March536+8
April545+9
May554+9
June563+9
July573+10
August583+10
September593+10
October603+10
November613+10
December624+11
2029 Year-End Target: ₹624 | Estimated Gain: +22% from 2028 year-end.

2030 Monthly Targets

ONGC targets ₹778 by December 2030, representing a 25% gain from 2029. Monthly increments peak at ₹15 in later months. Crude oil stability around $80/barrel and successful asset monetization drive performance. Renewable energy forays begin adding diversification value, positioning ONGC as an integrated energy player for the next decade.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January635+11
February646+11
March658+12
April670+12
May682+12
June695+13
July708+13
August721+13
September735+14
October749+14
November763+14
December778+15
2030 Year-End Target: ₹778 | Estimated Gain: +25% from 2029 year-end.

2040 Monthly Targets

By 2040, ONGC is projected to reach ₹1,696, driven by sustained energy demand and technological advancements. Monthly gains average ₹25-29 as the company balances fossil fuels with green energy. Production efficiency improvements and global partnerships support long-term growth, though energy transition risks remain a key monitoring factor for investors.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January1,400
February1,425+25
March1,450+25
April1,476+26
May1,502+26
June1,528+26
July1,555+27
August1,582+27
September1,610+28
October1,638+28
November1,667+29
December1,696+29
2040 Year-End Target: ₹1,696 | Estimated Gain: +49% from 2035 year-end

2050 Monthly Targets

ONGC targets ₹3,592 by 2050, reflecting a 46% increase from 2045. Monthly gains reach ₹50-58 in later years. The company successfully transitions into a diversified energy major with a significant renewable portfolio. Crude oil remains relevant, but hydrogen and solar contribute meaningfully. Long-term compounding rewards patient, risk-tolerant investors.

MonthAvg Target (₹)Monthly Change (₹)
January3,000
February3,050+50
March3,100+50
April3,152+52
May3,204+52
June3,256+52
July3,310+54
August3,364+54
September3,420+56
October3,476+56
November3,534+58
December3,592+58
2050 Year-End Target: ₹3,592 | Estimated Gain: +46% from 2045 year-end

 Year-End Summary Table

YearYear-End Target (₹)CAGR (%)
2026325
202740023.1%
202851228.0%
202962421.9%
203077824.7%
20351,1357.8% (5-yr)
20401,6968.4% (5-yr)
20452,4567.7% (5-yr)
20503,5927.9% (5-yr)

Key Risks to Watch (2026 – 2050)

Risk Category 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2040 2050
Crude Oil Price Drop below $65/barrel Drop below $60/barrel Volatility $60-90 range Sustained below $65 Below $70 impacts margins Long-term demand decline Fossil fuel phase-out
Global Demand US/China/EU slowdown Recession risk Stagnant growth Moderate recovery Plateauing demand Peak oil demand 50% demand drop
Government Policy Windfall tax extension PSC contract changes Subsidy burden return Tax structure revision Green energy mandates Carbon taxes Fossil fuel bans
Exploration Risk KG Basin delays Dry wells Cost overruns Below-target reserves Technical failures Depleting fields Asset write-offs
Energy Transition Low impact Mild pressure Growing scrutiny ESG investor exits Portfolio shift pressure Major CapEx diversion Business model risk
Regulatory Stable Moderate changes Production caps Emission norms Local content rules Net-zero compliance Complete restructuring
Competition Private players Foreign entry Renewable disruptors LNG competitors Green hydrogen Solar/wind majors New energy tech
Financial Margin pressure Dividend cut risk Debt increase Capex overrun ROE decline Asset impairments Valuation collapse
Currency (INR) Depreciation 2-3% Depreciation 3% Volatile Stabilizing Moderate Structural decline Severe erosion
Geopolitical Russia-Ukraine Middle East Supply chain Trade wars Resource nationalism Climate agreements Global energy shift

Conclusion

ONGC presents a balanced risk-reward proposition for long-term investors. The company’s evolution from a pure-play oil explorer to an integrated energy major will determine shareholder returns over the next three decades. ONGC in 2050 will not be the same company as ONGC in 2025. Its ability to transform from a fossil fuel giant to an energy major will decide whether the ₹3,592 target is achieved or missed entirely. For now, the base case offers a reasonable 11x potential return over 25 years, but investors must stay vigilant about the accelerating energy transition.

Key Takeaways

AspectSummary
Short-Term (2026-2030)Stable growth with crude oil price sensitivity. Expected CAGR of 19-24% annually. Best suited for value investors seeking dividends and modest appreciation.
Medium-Term (2030-2040)Energy transition pressure intensifies. Success in renewables and gas diversification critical. CAGR moderates to 7-8%.
Long-Term (2050)High uncertainty. Fossil fuel phase-out risks are real, but successful transition could still deliver 3,500-5,000 targets.

Three Scenarios Summary

Scenario2030 Target2050 TargetProbability
Bull Case₹950₹5,00020%
Base Case₹778₹3,59250%
Bear Case₹500₹1,60030%

Investor Recommendations

Investor TypeRecommended HorizonStrategy
Short-term traders2026-2027Trade crude oil momentum, book profits at ₹350-400
Medium-term investors2026-2030Accumulate on dips, target ₹500-800, monitor ESG trends
Long-term investors2030-2050Only for high risk tolerance, diversify with renewable energy stocks
Dividend seekersOngoingONGC offers 4-5% yield, suitable for income portfolios

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